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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Mission weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Mission today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 63% chance of rain.

96°79°
98°78°
100°78°
100°79°
98°79°
96°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Partly cloudy
Today 96°·Low 80°·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Cloudy
Today 96°·Low 81°·Rain 25%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Thunderstorm
Today 95°·Low 77°·Rain 66%
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Mission weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Mission…

Mission weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mission swings 44°F across the year, from 99°F highs in August to 55°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
99°F average high
Coldest month
January
55°F average low
Wettest month
April
27 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
83,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mission and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mission hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mission 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
96° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 78°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
100° 78°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
100° 79°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
98° 79°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 79°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 79°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
96° 78°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
96° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 78°
models agree
Tue
Showers
94° 77°
±11°
Wed
Clear
96° 78°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
94° 76°
models agree

Mission, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mission right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mission climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
55°
Feb
77°
58°
Mar
84°
65°
Apr
86°
68°
May
93°
75°
Jun
98°
79°
Jul
96°
79°
Aug
99°
79°
Sep
96°
78°
Oct
88°
70°
Nov
79°
63°
Dec
75°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mission?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F86±4.3 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°95° to 96°±41%25% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±3°97° to 99°±59%4% to 63% chance
Sun±2°99° to 101°±21%6% to 27% chance
Mon±3°99° to 101°±64%18% to 82% chance
Tue±4°97° to 101°±32%42% to 74% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mission

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
19:34
Daylight
12h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mission today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mission today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mission today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mission and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mission?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mission (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mission?
August is typically the warmest month in Mission, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Mission get?
The coldest month in Mission is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Mission get?
Mission sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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