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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Milpitas weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 75° in Milpitas today. Tomorrow looks fog around 77°, with a 0% chance of rain.

75°56°
77°56°
74°56°
78°56°
81°57°
88°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±12°Mondaysplit ±12°Tuesdaysplit ±15°Wednesdaysplit ±14°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Milpitas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Milpitas weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Milpitas swings 42°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 43°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 29 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
February
43°F average low
Wettest month
January
29 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and November
Residents
78,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Milpitas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Milpitas hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Milpitas 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
75° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
77° 56°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
74° 56°
±12°
Mon
Cloudy
78° 56°
±12°
Tue
Partly cloudy
81° 57°
±15°
Wed
Mostly clear
88° 60°
±14°
Thu
Mostly clear
87° 64°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
83° 62°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
81° 61°
±12°
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 59°
±20°
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 57°
±12°
Tue
Drizzle
78° 58°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 57°
±7°
Thu
Clear
75° 55°
±5°

Milpitas, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 43°F), with roughly 29 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Milpitas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Milpitas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
45°
Feb
59°
43°
Mar
60°
45°
Apr
67°
48°
May
73°
51°
Jun
79°
56°
Jul
85°
59°
Aug
83°
59°
Sep
80°
57°
Oct
80°
57°
Nov
66°
47°
Dec
61°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Milpitas?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
79±2.1°F93±2.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
86
/100rank #2
67±3.3°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°74° to 76°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°75° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±12°69° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±12°73° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±15°74° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Milpitas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Milpitas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Milpitas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Milpitas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Milpitas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Milpitas?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Milpitas (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Milpitas?
July is typically the warmest month in Milpitas, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Milpitas get?
The coldest month in Milpitas is February, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Milpitas get?
Milpitas sees roughly 29 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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