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CheckWeather USSan Jose
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

San Jose weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put San Jose's high today between 74° and 81°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks fog around 82°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°55°
82°56°
77°56°
82°57°
85°57°
92°63°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Sundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 53°·Rain 0%
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San Jose weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering San Jose…

San Jose weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

San Jose swings 45°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 42°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 28 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
February
42°F average low
Wettest month
January
28 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and November
Residents
997,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Jose and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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San Jose in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of San Jose, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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San Jose hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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San Jose 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
78° 55°
±7°
Tomorrow
Fog
82° 56°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 56°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
82° 57°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
85° 57°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
92° 63°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
93° 68°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 64°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
81° 62°
±15°
Sun
Cloudy
82° 61°
±16°
Mon
Mostly clear
83° 61°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 64°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
80° 61°
±16°
Thu
Clear
79° 58°
±6°

San Jose, California (CA). Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Jose right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down San Jose's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Jose weather by month

what to expect in San Jose through the year

Here is San Jose's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to San Jose by season.

Jan
59°
45°
Mild
Wettest
Feb
59°
42°
Mild
Mar
60°
45°
Mild
Apr
68°
47°
Mild
May
74°
52°
Warm
Jun
81°
56°
Warm
Jul
87°
60°
Hot
Aug
85°
60°
Hot
Sep
82°
58°
Warm
Oct
81°
57°
Warm
Nov
66°
47°
Mild
Dec
61°
46°
Mild

What San Jose's weather is like through the year

San Jose runs from warm summers, with July highs near 87°F, to cold winters, when February lows sit around 42°F (a swing of about 45°F across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and San Jose sees roughly 28 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit San Jose

The most comfortable time to visit San Jose is usually March, April, May and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Jose?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F89±3.4 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
81
/100rank #2
60±4.0°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for San Jose, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 81. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°74° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±7°78° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±6°75° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±5°79° to 84°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°82° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Jose

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Jose today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Jose today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Jose today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Jose and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Jose?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for San Jose (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Jose?
July is typically the warmest month in San Jose, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does San Jose get?
The coldest month in San Jose is February, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does San Jose get?
San Jose sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit San Jose?
The most comfortable time to visit San Jose is usually March, April, May and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in San Jose?
Rarely - San Jose very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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