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CheckWeather USMorgan Hill
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Morgan Hill weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Morgan Hill today. Tomorrow looks fog around 85°, with a 0% chance of rain.

80°54°
85°55°
79°55°
81°55°
85°56°
95°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±11°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
82°
Mostly clear
Today 82°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Fog
Today 78°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Cloudy
Today 79°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
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Morgan Hill weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Morgan Hill weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morgan Hill swings 55°F across the year, from 95°F highs in July to 40°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 29 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
95°F average high
Coldest month
February
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
29 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, November and December
Residents
43,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Morgan Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morgan Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morgan Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 54°
models agree
Tomorrow
Fog
85° 55°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
79° 55°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
81° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 56°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 59°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
93° 64°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
85° 61°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
83° 60°
±17°
Sun
Cloudy
82° 58°
±14°
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 56°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 59°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
82° 57°
±8°
Thu
Clear
80° 55°
models agree

Morgan Hill, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 29 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Morgan Hill right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Morgan Hill climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
58°
43°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
59°
43°
Apr
68°
46°
May
74°
51°
Jun
83°
55°
Jul
95°
61°
Aug
91°
61°
Sep
86°
58°
Oct
82°
56°
Nov
67°
46°
Dec
64°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Morgan Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F83±5.3 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
65±3.5°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°78° to 82°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°84° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±11°75° to 85°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°80° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±6°83° to 89°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morgan Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morgan Hill today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Morgan Hill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morgan Hill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Morgan Hill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morgan Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Morgan Hill (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morgan Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Morgan Hill, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Morgan Hill get?
The coldest month in Morgan Hill is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Morgan Hill get?
Morgan Hill sees roughly 29 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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