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CheckWeather USMurfreesboro
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Murfreesboro weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Murfreesboro today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 97°, with a 59% chance of rain.

97°73°
97°74°
95°74°
95°71°
88°68°
82°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 73°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 73°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 72°·Rain 35%
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Murfreesboro weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Murfreesboro weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Murfreesboro swings 56°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
September
55 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
165,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Murfreesboro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Murfreesboro hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Murfreesboro 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
97° 74°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 74°
models agree
Mon
Showers
95° 71°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
88° 68°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 67°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 63°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 60°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 59°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 60°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 60°
±6°
Tue
Showers
77° 57°
±16°
Wed
Mostly clear
75° 52°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
78° 50°
±8°

Murfreesboro, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Murfreesboro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Murfreesboro climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
60°
40°
Mar
63°
43°
Apr
71°
51°
May
80°
60°
Jun
87°
65°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
68°
Sep
83°
63°
Oct
75°
53°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
54°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Murfreesboro?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F93±2.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 99°±28%7% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±3°95° to 98°±44%15% to 59% chance
Sun±4°94° to 97°±8%14% to 22% chance
Mon±1°95° to 96°±23%43% to 66% chance
Tue±4°86° to 90°±27%43% to 70% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Murfreesboro

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Murfreesboro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Murfreesboro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Murfreesboro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Murfreesboro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Murfreesboro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Murfreesboro (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Murfreesboro?
July is typically the warmest month in Murfreesboro, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Murfreesboro get?
The coldest month in Murfreesboro is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Murfreesboro get?
Murfreesboro sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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