Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Smyrna weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Smyrna today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 96°, with a 31% chance of rain.

97°73°
96°74°
95°74°
95°72°
87°69°
83°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Showers
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 73°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Mostly clear
Today 95°·Low 73°·Rain 29%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Smyrna weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Smyrna…

Smyrna weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Smyrna swings 57°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 61 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
July
61 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
47,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Smyrna and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Smyrna hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Smyrna 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 73°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
96° 74°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 74°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 72°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 69°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 68°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
79° 64°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
79° 62°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 60°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
81° 61°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 61°
±5°
Tue
Showers
77° 58°
±16°
Wed
Mostly clear
74° 54°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
77° 52°
±7°

Smyrna, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 61 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Smyrna right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Smyrna climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
59°
39°
Mar
63°
42°
Apr
70°
50°
May
79°
59°
Jun
87°
65°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
88°
68°
Sep
82°
63°
Oct
74°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
53°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Smyrna?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F95±1.5 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±2.0 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°95° to 98°±21%8% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±4°94° to 98°±19%12% to 31% chance
Sun±2°94° to 97°±3%15% to 18% chance
Mon±3°94° to 96°±31%44% to 75% chance
Tue±5°86° to 91°±24%44% to 68% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Smyrna

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Smyrna today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Smyrna today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Smyrna today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Smyrna and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Smyrna?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Smyrna (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Smyrna?
July is typically the warmest month in Smyrna, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Smyrna get?
The coldest month in Smyrna is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Smyrna get?
Smyrna sees roughly 61 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather