Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USNiagara Falls
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Niagara Falls weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 70° in Niagara Falls today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 68°, with a 32% chance of rain.

70°58°
68°53°
65°56°
61°53°
59°51°
60°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 56°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Cloudy
Today 71°·Low 58°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Light drizzle
Today 69°·Low 60°·Rain 49%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Niagara Falls weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Niagara Falls…

Niagara Falls weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Niagara Falls swings 56°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 25°F lows in February, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
25°F average low
Wettest month
April
43 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
49,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Niagara Falls and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Niagara Falls hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Niagara Falls 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
70° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
68° 53°
models agree
Sun
Rain
65° 56°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
61° 53°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
59° 51°
±9°
Wed
Drizzle
60° 50°
±11°
Thu
Drizzle
62° 51°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
66° 51°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
69° 51°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
70° 53°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
71° 54°
±10°
Tue
Cloudy
73° 59°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 54°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
62° 52°
±8°

Niagara Falls, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 25°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Niagara Falls right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Niagara Falls climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
26°
Feb
41°
25°
Mar
45°
30°
Apr
58°
39°
May
69°
49°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
81°
65°
Aug
77°
62°
Sep
74°
58°
Oct
61°
48°
Nov
48°
36°
Dec
40°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Niagara Falls?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°69° to 71°±47%2% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°67° to 69°±19%13% to 32% chance
Sun±2°64° to 66°±31%59% to 90% chance
Mon±1°61° to 61°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tue±9°54° to 63°±1%8% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Niagara Falls

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:20
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Niagara Falls today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Niagara Falls today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Niagara Falls today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Niagara Falls and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Niagara Falls?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Niagara Falls (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 70. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Niagara Falls?
July is typically the warmest month in Niagara Falls, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Niagara Falls get?
The coldest month in Niagara Falls is February, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Niagara Falls get?
Niagara Falls sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather