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CheckWeather USNorfolk
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Norfolk weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Norfolk today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 81°, with a 20% chance of rain.

88°71°
81°72°
86°69°
83°72°
79°71°
74°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Light drizzle
Today 87°·Low 72°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 72°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Heavy drizzle
Today 88°·Low 71°·Rain 69%
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Norfolk weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Norfolk…

Norfolk weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Norfolk swings 48°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 39°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 48 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
39°F average low
Wettest month
July
48 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
238,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Norfolk and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Norfolk hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Norfolk 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
88° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
81° 72°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
86° 69°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 72°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
79° 71°
±6°
Wed
Rain
74° 70°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
72° 67°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 63°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
73° 63°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
74° 62°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 63°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
80° 64°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
83° 67°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 64°
models agree

Norfolk, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Norfolk right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Norfolk climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
39°
Feb
56°
40°
Mar
61°
44°
Apr
70°
53°
May
73°
59°
Jun
82°
66°
Jul
87°
73°
Aug
85°
71°
Sep
79°
67°
Oct
71°
56°
Nov
61°
47°
Dec
54°
40°

Which forecast is most accurate in Norfolk?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
64
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±1.7 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 88°±61%8% to 69% chance
Tomorrow±3°80° to 83°±14%6% to 20% chance
Sun±6°83° to 89°±2%4% to 6% chance
Mon±4°81° to 86°±16%55% to 71% chance
Tue±6°77° to 83°±18%41% to 59% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Norfolk

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Norfolk today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Norfolk today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Norfolk today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Norfolk and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Norfolk?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Norfolk (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 64. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Norfolk?
July is typically the warmest month in Norfolk, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Norfolk get?
The coldest month in Norfolk is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Norfolk get?
Norfolk sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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