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CheckWeather USVirginia Beach
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Virginia Beach (VA Beach) weather

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Partly cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 84° in Virginia Beach today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 78°, with a 12% chance of rain.

84°72°
78°74°
80°73°
80°73°
77°73°
75°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Partly cloudy
Today 83°·Low 72°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Cloudy
Today 87°·Low 72°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Light drizzle
Today 84°·Low 71°·Rain 33%
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Virginia Beach weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Virginia Beach weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Virginia Beach swings 45°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 40°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
40°F average low
Wettest month
March
43 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
455,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Virginia Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Virginia Beach in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Virginia Beach, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Virginia Beach hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Virginia Beach 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
84° 72°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
78° 74°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 73°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
80° 73°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
77° 73°
models agree
Wed
Rain
75° 72°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
73° 69°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
71° 66°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 66°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
71° 66°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
74° 66°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 67°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
80° 69°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
72° 68°
models agree

Virginia Beach, Virginia (VA) (often shortened to VA Beach) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Virginia Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Virginia Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
40°
Feb
54°
41°
Mar
59°
45°
Apr
68°
53°
May
71°
60°
Jun
80°
67°
Jul
85°
73°
Aug
83°
72°
Sep
77°
68°
Oct
70°
58°
Nov
61°
50°
Dec
53°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Virginia Beach?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F98±0.7 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°83° to 87°±26%7% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±2°78° to 79°±7%5% to 12% chance
Sunmodels agree80° to 80°±6%4% to 10% chance
Mon±2°79° to 80°±18%49% to 67% chance
Tue±3°76° to 79°±1%54% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Virginia Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:06
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Virginia Beach today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Virginia Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Virginia Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Virginia Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Virginia Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Virginia Beach (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Virginia Beach?
July is typically the warmest month in Virginia Beach, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Virginia Beach get?
The coldest month in Virginia Beach is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Virginia Beach get?
Virginia Beach sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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