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CheckWeather USThe Villages
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

The Villages weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put The Villages's high today between 82° and 88°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 85°, with a 94% chance of rain.

86°73°
85°72°
86°73°
88°73°
88°73°
87°74°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Sundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Light drizzle
Today 87°·Low 73°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Light drizzle
Today 88°·Low 73°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Showers
Today 82°·Low 74°·Rain 86%
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The Villages weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The Villages weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

The Villages swings 42°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 50°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 47 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
January
50°F average low
Wettest month
September
47 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
51,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Villages and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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The Villages hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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The Villages 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
86° 73°
±6°
Tomorrow
Showers
85° 72°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
86° 73°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
88° 73°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
88° 73°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
87° 74°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
88° 73°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
88° 73°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
85° 72°
±10°
Sun
Drizzle
85° 71°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
85° 71°
±8°
Tue
Thunderstorm
86° 71°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
85° 72°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
78° 72°
models agree

The Villages, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Villages right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Villages climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
50°
Feb
74°
53°
Mar
79°
59°
Apr
82°
62°
May
88°
68°
Jun
90°
73°
Jul
92°
76°
Aug
92°
76°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
66°
Nov
77°
60°
Dec
70°
53°

Which forecast is most accurate in The Villages?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.3 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F91±2.9 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°82° to 88°±71%15% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±4°83° to 87°±55%39% to 94% chance
Sun±2°86° to 88°±34%56% to 90% chance
Mon±5°86° to 90°±22%75% to 97% chance
Tue±7°86° to 93°±18%71% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Villages

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Villages today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for The Villages today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Villages today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for The Villages and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Villages?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Villages (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Villages?
July is typically the warmest month in The Villages, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does The Villages get?
The coldest month in The Villages is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does The Villages get?
The Villages sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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