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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 9°F

Orem weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Orem's high today between 72° and 81°, a 9° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 71°, with a 51% chance of rain.

76°58°
71°54°
73°50°
79°54°
74°58°
77°55°
Todaysplit ±9°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Light rain
Today 75°·Low 59°·Rain 50%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 59°·Rain 50%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Heavy drizzle
Today 72°·Low 56°·Rain 100%
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Orem weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Orem weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Orem swings 68°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 23°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 17 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
23°F average low
Wettest month
January
17 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
2 months
May and October
Residents
94,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Orem and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Orem hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Orem 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
76° 58°
±9°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
71° 54°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
73° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
79° 54°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
74° 58°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
77° 55°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 58°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
81° 61°
±8°
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 60°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
79° 60°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
76° 57°
±17°
Tue
Partly cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
84° 60°
models agree
Thu
Clear
73° 57°
±12°

Orem, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Orem right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Orem climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
23°
Feb
37°
24°
Mar
42°
27°
Apr
55°
38°
May
67°
48°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
91°
69°
Aug
86°
66°
Sep
79°
58°
Oct
65°
48°
Nov
46°
32°
Dec
41°
28°

Which forecast is most accurate in Orem?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F92±2.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
62±3.8°F85±4.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±9°72° to 81°±50%50% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±40%11% to 51% chance
Sun±3°71° to 74°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±2°78° to 80°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±8°70° to 78°models agree34% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Orem

today, local time
Sunrise
07:10
Sunset
19:30
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Orem today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Orem today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Orem today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Orem and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orem?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orem (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orem?
July is typically the warmest month in Orem, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Orem get?
The coldest month in Orem is January, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Orem get?
Orem sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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