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Topeka weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Drizzle
Feels 80° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Overcast
Feels 81° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Light drizzle
Feels 85° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 55%

Latest for Topeka: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 76° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 82° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Topeka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Topeka, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 22°F), with roughly 37 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Topeka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Topeka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
22°
Feb
52°
29°
Mar
57°
36°
Apr
70°
47°
May
79°
57°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
70°
Sep
84°
63°
Oct
72°
52°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Topeka today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Topeka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Topeka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Topeka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Topeka?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Topeka forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Topeka?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Topeka, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Topeka get?
The coldest month in Topeka is Jan, when overnight lows average about 22°F.
How much rain does Topeka get?
Topeka sees roughly 37 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather