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CheckWeather USLawrence

Lawrence weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light drizzle
Feels 81° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Overcast
Feels 83° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 66%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Overcast
Feels 86° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 54%

Latest for Lawrence: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 82° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lawrence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Lawrence, KS is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 23°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lawrence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Lawrence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
23°
Feb
53°
30°
Mar
57°
37°
Apr
69°
47°
May
78°
57°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
89°
70°
Aug
89°
70°
Sep
84°
62°
Oct
72°
52°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
47°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lawrence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lawrence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lawrence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lawrence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lawrence?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lawrence forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lawrence?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Lawrence, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Lawrence get?
The coldest month in Lawrence is Jan, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Lawrence get?
Lawrence sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather