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CheckWeather NZWhakapapa
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Whakapapa weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Whakapapa's high today between 12° and 14°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light snow around 9°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°
10°
10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Fog
Today 13°·Low ·Rain 78%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light rain
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Whakapapa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Whakapapa swings 14°C across the year, from 17°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2304 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
17°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
January
2304 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
2 months
February and December

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Whakapapa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Whakapapa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Whakapapa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light snow
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
10°
±5°
Tue
Rain
10°
±4°
Wed
Light snow
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
10°
±5°
Sat
Light rain
12°
models agree
Sun
Light snow
10°
models agree
Mon
Light snow
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
12°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
10°
models agree

Whakapapa, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 2304 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Whakapapa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Whakapapa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
17°
11°
Feb
17°
10°
Mar
14°
Apr
13°
May
11°
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
10°
Oct
12°
Nov
13°
Dec
16°
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in New Zealand?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±3.0 km/t8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C93±3.6 km/t6782% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C89±5.7 km/t6983% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±97%3% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree9° to 10°±25%75% to 100% chance
Mon±5°8° to 13°±100%0% to 100% chance
Tue±4°9° to 12°±35%65% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree6° to 6°±27%70% to 97% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Whakapapa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Whakapapa today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Whakapapa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Whakapapa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Whakapapa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Whakapapa?
No single model is always right. European, American, German each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Whakapapa forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested NZ accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Whakapapa?
January is typically the warmest month in Whakapapa, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Whakapapa get?
The coldest month in Whakapapa is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Whakapapa get?
Whakapapa sees roughly 2304 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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