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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Bartlett weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Bartlett today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 99°, with a 2% chance of rain.

98°74°
99°75°
100°76°
99°77°
87°71°
84°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Clear
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 73°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
98°
Clear
Today 98°·Low 73°·Rain 4%
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Bartlett weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Bartlett weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bartlett swings 54°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 35°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 57 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
January
57 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
59,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bartlett and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bartlett hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bartlett 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
98° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
99° 75°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
100° 76°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
99° 77°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 71°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
84° 66°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
84° 63°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 63°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
84° 64°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
87° 64°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 63°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
80° 61°
±14°
Wed
Partly cloudy
79° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 57°
±6°

Bartlett, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bartlett right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bartlett climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
35°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
64°
45°
Apr
71°
53°
May
81°
63°
Jun
88°
69°
Jul
89°
72°
Aug
89°
72°
Sep
84°
66°
Oct
76°
56°
Nov
64°
47°
Dec
55°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bartlett?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
65
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F93±2.1 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°98° to 99°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree99° to 99°±1%1% to 2% chance
Sun±4°99° to 102°±5%1% to 6% chance
Mon±6°96° to 102°±5%29% to 34% chance
Tue±6°84° to 90°±7%22% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bartlett

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
19:01
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bartlett today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bartlett today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bartlett today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bartlett and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bartlett?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bartlett (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bartlett?
July is typically the warmest month in Bartlett, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Bartlett get?
The coldest month in Bartlett is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does Bartlett get?
Bartlett sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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