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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

New South Memphis weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in New South Memphis today. Tomorrow looks clear around 98°, with a 1% chance of rain.

98°74°
98°76°
99°77°
98°77°
88°72°
84°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 74°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 74°·Rain 6%
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New South Memphis weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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New South Memphis weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

New South Memphis swings 55°F across the year, from 90°F highs in August to 35°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
35°F average low
Wettest month
November
60 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
642,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around New South Memphis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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New South Memphis in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of New South Memphis, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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New South Memphis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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New South Memphis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
98° 76°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
99° 77°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 77°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
88° 72°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
84° 67°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 66°
±7°
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 65°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
84° 66°
±8°
Sun
Cloudy
86° 66°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 65°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
80° 63°
±14°
Wed
Partly cloudy
80° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
83° 60°
±6°

New South Memphis, Tennessee (TN) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 35°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for New South Memphis right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

New South Memphis climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
35°
Feb
60°
42°
Mar
64°
46°
Apr
71°
53°
May
81°
63°
Jun
88°
70°
Jul
89°
73°
Aug
90°
73°
Sep
84°
67°
Oct
76°
57°
Nov
64°
48°
Dec
55°
40°

Which forecast is most accurate in New South Memphis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.8 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.7 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°97° to 98°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°98° to 99°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±5°98° to 102°±3%1% to 4% chance
Mon±7°95° to 102°±5%28% to 33% chance
Tue±5°85° to 90°±8%20% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in New South Memphis

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:02
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in New South Memphis today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for New South Memphis today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in New South Memphis today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for New South Memphis and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for New South Memphis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for New South Memphis (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in New South Memphis?
August is typically the warmest month in New South Memphis, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does New South Memphis get?
The coldest month in New South Memphis is January, when overnight lows average about 35°F.
How much rain does New South Memphis get?
New South Memphis sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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