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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Dublin weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 78° in Dublin today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 79°, with a 1% chance of rain.

78°55°
79°55°
73°55°
75°56°
80°56°
93°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Mostly clear
Today 78°·Low 55°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Fog
Today 77°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
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Dublin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Dublin weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dublin swings 41°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 40°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 32 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
February
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
32 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and September
Residents
58,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dublin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dublin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dublin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
78° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 55°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
73° 55°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
75° 56°
±7°
Tue
Mostly clear
80° 56°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
93° 57°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
90° 64°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
81° 60°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 58°
±15°
Sun
Cloudy
79° 57°
±12°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 56°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
78° 57°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 55°
±15°
Thu
Clear
75° 53°
models agree

Dublin, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 32 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dublin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dublin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
42°
Feb
57°
40°
Mar
58°
43°
Apr
64°
45°
May
68°
49°
Jun
74°
52°
Jul
81°
56°
Aug
79°
56°
Sep
78°
55°
Oct
78°
53°
Nov
65°
43°
Dec
61°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dublin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
72
/100rank #2
53±4.7°F80±6.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°77° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°77° to 81°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±9°68° to 77°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±7°70° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±10°75° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dublin

today, local time
Sunrise
06:52
Sunset
19:10
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dublin today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dublin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dublin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dublin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dublin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dublin (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 72. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dublin?
July is typically the warmest month in Dublin, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Dublin get?
The coldest month in Dublin is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Dublin get?
Dublin sees roughly 32 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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