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CheckWeather USLaguna Niguel
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Laguna Niguel weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Laguna Niguel's high today between 74° and 80°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 77°, with a 1% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

76°62°
77°61°
77°63°
75°64°
77°63°
81°65°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Sundaysplit ±9°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 62°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 61°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 62°·Rain 0%
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Laguna Niguel weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Laguna Niguel…

Laguna Niguel weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Laguna Niguel swings 38°F across the year, from 83°F highs in August to 45°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 27 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
27 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
66,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Laguna Niguel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Laguna Niguel hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Laguna Niguel 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
76° 62°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
77° 61°
±10°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 63°
±9°
Mon
Partly cloudy
75° 64°
±8°
Tue
Partly cloudy
77° 63°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
81° 65°
±9°
Thu
Clear
81° 66°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
82° 67°
±10°
Sat
Partly cloudy
85° 68°
±15°
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 71°
±19°
Mon
Partly cloudy
87° 73°
±19°
Tue
Cloudy
90° 75°
models agree
Wed
Clear
81° 67°
±6°
Thu
Clear
76° 65°
±9°

Laguna Niguel, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Laguna Niguel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Laguna Niguel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
61°
47°
Apr
67°
49°
May
68°
53°
Jun
74°
57°
Jul
82°
62°
Aug
83°
64°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
80°
58°
Nov
72°
51°
Dec
67°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°74° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±10°73° to 83°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±9°73° to 82°±1%1% to 2% chance
Mon±8°71° to 79°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±8°73° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Laguna Niguel

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:52
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Laguna Niguel today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Laguna Niguel today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Laguna Niguel today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Laguna Niguel and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Laguna Niguel?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Laguna Niguel forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Laguna Niguel?
August is typically the warmest month in Laguna Niguel, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Laguna Niguel get?
The coldest month in Laguna Niguel is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Laguna Niguel get?
Laguna Niguel sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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